The expectations theory of the term structure of interest rates states that the yields on financial assets of different maturities are related primarily by market expectations of future yields. The expectations theory has occupied a prominent place in both theoretical and policy debates at various times.
According to the term structure's expectations theory, the long-term interest rate is a weighted average of the current and anticipated short-term interest rates in the future. The long rate will equal the short rate if forecasts for future short rates are consistent (plus a constant risk premium).
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