Suppose the life of a particular brand of calculator battery is approximately normally distributed with a mean of 75 hours and a standard deviation of 10 hours. What is the probability that a single battery randomly selected from the population will have a life?
a) no more than 72 hours
b) at least 77 hours
*what is the probability that 16 randomly sampled batteries from the population will have a sample mean life between 70 and 80 hours?

Respuesta :

Answer:

a) [tex]P(X<72)=P(\frac{X-\mu}{\sigma}<\frac{72-\mu}{\sigma})=P(Z<\frac{72-75}{10})=P(z<-0.3)[/tex]

And we can find this probability using the normal standard table or excel:

[tex]P(z<-0.3)=0.382[/tex]

b) [tex]P(X>77)=P(\frac{X-\mu}{\sigma}>\frac{77-\mu}{\sigma})=P(Z>\frac{77-75}{10})=P(z>0.2)[/tex]

And we can find this probability using the complement rule and the normal standard table or excel:

[tex]P(z>0.2)=1-P(Z<0.2) = 1-0.579=0.421 [/tex]

c) [tex] z = \frac{70-75}{\frac{10}{\sqrt{16}}}= -2[/tex]

[tex] z = \frac{80-75}{\frac{10}{\sqrt{16}}}= 2[/tex]

And we can find this probability with this difference:

[tex] P(-2<z<2) = P(Z<2) -P(z<-2)= 0.97725-0.02275= 0.9545[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

Previous concepts

Normal distribution, is a "probability distribution that is symmetric about the mean, showing that data near the mean are more frequent in occurrence than data far from the mean".

The Z-score is "a numerical measurement used in statistics of a value's relationship to the mean (average) of a group of values, measured in terms of standard deviations from the mean".  

Solution to the problem

Let X the random variable that represent the life of a particular brand of a population, and for this case we know the distribution for X is given by:

[tex]X \sim N(75,10)[/tex]  

Where [tex]\mu=75[/tex] and [tex]\sigma=10[/tex]

Part a

We are interested on this probability

[tex]P(X<72)[/tex]

And the best way to solve this problem is using the normal standard distribution and the z score given by:

[tex]z=\frac{x-\mu}{\sigma}[/tex]

If we apply this formula to our probability we got this:

[tex]P(X<72)=P(\frac{X-\mu}{\sigma}<\frac{72-\mu}{\sigma})=P(Z<\frac{72-75}{10})=P(z<-0.3)[/tex]

And we can find this probability using the normal standard table or excel:

[tex]P(z<-0.3)=0.382[/tex]

Part b

[tex]P(X>77)=P(\frac{X-\mu}{\sigma}>\frac{77-\mu}{\sigma})=P(Z>\frac{77-75}{10})=P(z>0.2)[/tex]

And we can find this probability using the complement rule and the normal standard table or excel:

[tex]P(z>0.2)=1-P(Z<0.2) = 1-0.579=0.421 [/tex]

Part c

For this case we select a sample size of n =16. and we want this probability:

[tex] P(70 < \bar X <80)[/tex]

We know that the distribution for the sample mean [tex]\bar X[/tex] is given by:

[tex]\bar X \sim N(\mu, \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}})[/tex]

And we can find the z scores for the limits like this:

[tex] z = \frac{70-75}{\frac{10}{\sqrt{16}}}= -2[/tex]

[tex] z = \frac{80-75}{\frac{10}{\sqrt{16}}}= 2[/tex]

And we can find this probability with this difference:

[tex] P(-2<z<2) = P(Z<2) -P(z<-2)= 0.97725-0.02275= 0.9545[/tex]