A foreman for an injection-molding firm admits that on 26% of his shifts, he forgets to shut off the injection machine on his line. This causes the machine to overheat, increasing the proba- bility that a defective molding will be produced during the early morning run from 3% to 25%. If a molding is randomly selected from the early morning run of a random day, what is the probability that it is defective?

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Answer:

0.0872 or 8.72%

Step-by-step explanation:

The probability of a random molding being defective is given by the probability of the foreman remembering to shut off the injection machine (74%) multiplied by the probability of defects (3%), added to the probability of the foreman forgetting to shut off the injection machine (26%) multiplied by the probability of defects in this scenario (25%):

[tex]P = (0.74*0.03)+(0.26*0.25)\\P=0.0872 = 8.72\%[/tex]

The probability that a randomly selected molding is defective is 0.0872 or 8.72%

The probability a randomly selected molding is defective is 0.0872 or 8.72%.

Given

A foreman for an injection-molding firm admits that on 26% of his shifts, he forgets to shut off the injection machine on his line.

This causes the machine to overheat, increasing the probability that a defective molding will be produced during the early morning run from 3% to 25%.

Probability;

Experimental probability is what actually happens. Using the coin example, flipping the coin 100 times, it could actually land on heads 100 times or any number of times from 0 to 100.

Let D be the event of being Defective.

When he forgets to shut off the machine 52% of the time;

[tex]\rm P (D) = 0.25 \times 0.26= 0.065[/tex]

When he does not forget to shut off the injection machine ( 1- 0.26= 0.74) or 74 % of the time;

[tex]\rm P (D) = 0.74 \times 0.03= 0.022[/tex]

Therefore,

Total Probability of Defect = Probability of Defect When forgetting + Probability of Defect when not forgetting

Total Probability of Defect =  0.065 + 0.022 = 0.0872 or 8.72%

Hence, the probability a randomly selected molding is defective is 0.0872 or 8.72%.

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